Household Livelihood Strategy Changes and Agricultural Diversification: A Correlation and Mechanism Analysis Based on Data from the China Family Panel

Social and economic transformations have a profound impact on farmers’ livelihood strategies, changes in these turn, deeply the agricultural system. Based four waves of China Family Panel Studies (CFPS) tracking data, this paper uses Markov transfer probability matrix to explore strategies builds multiple logit fixed-effect models empirically analyze lag effect diversification. The results show that (1) farmers who choose not shift away from an no significant change Compared with households showing increase diversification index, decrease index are more inclined diversify if they maintain either part-time or full-time. For unchanged their value is likely remain full-time agriculture-oriented livelihood. Moreover, (2) strategy displays regional heterogeneity. central region shows statistically over sample period, while eastern increases. Farmers regions values persistent values. (3) Changes becomes at two periods.